Read the macro cycle
like a signal, not a vibe.
MSF turns growth and inflation into probabilistic regime forecasts. Four states, two voting models, decades of asset returns. Quantify the cycle, measure the edge, rotate with conviction.
Four macro states
Disinflation, Reflation, Stagflation, Deflation. Built from FRED growth and inflation data, refreshed daily.
Probabilistic signal
Per-day probability across all four regimes plus the model's top call. Watch conviction shift.
Backtest the edge
Build regime baskets, run rotation strategies, compare hit-rate against the revealed state.
Disclaimer. MSF is a research tool. Nothing on this site is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All forecasts and backtests are educational outputs of statistical models and may be wrong. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions.